Sunday, August 10, 2008

Invest 92L Looming Off The Windward Islands


A tropical wave located near latitude 10.7 North and longitude 44.5 West has developed a modest amount of heavy thunderstorm activity overnight. Invest 92L is showing signs of development and is currently being tracked by the National Hurricane Center.

The environment around the tropical disturbance appears favorable for intensification, except for the dry air to the west. Forecasters are predicting that Invest 92L will take at least two days to get organized and form a tropical depression. The UKMET, GFS, and ECMWF models are indicating that 92L may become a weak tropical storm by the time the disturbance crosses into the northern Lesser Antilles Islands on Wednesday or Thursday.

The National Hurricane Center is giving 92L a medium (20-50% chance) of becoming a tropical depression by Tuesday morning. At 2:00 p.m. Invest 92L with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph was moving West at 18 mph. Residents and visitors to the Lesser Antilles should prepare for the possibility of tropical storm conditions arriving as early as Wednesday.

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